<img height="1" width="1" src="https://www.facebook.com/tr?id=373327176680496&amp;ev=PageView&amp;noscript=1">

By: Alex Carrick on May 14th, 2020

Print/Save as PDF

April Nonresidential Construction Starts Sink Lower YTD, -16.7%

Economic News | Industry Snapshot

M/M Fine, but Other Time Comparisons Grim

ConstructConnect announced today that the latest month’s volume of construction starts, excluding residential work, was $32.6 billion (green shaded box, Table 3 below), an increase of +2.3% versus March’s figure of $31.8 billion (originally reported as $30.8 billion).

April Nonresidential Construction Starts Sink Lower Ytd, -16.7% Graphic

Amidst so much bad economic news, arising from the coronavirus pandemic, the slight increase in nonresidential starts month-to-month strikes a sweet chord. With winter being left behind, April is the time of year when on-site building activity normally perks up nicely. Some of that usual springier step was apparent even in the current extraordinary circumstances.

 
View this information as an infographic
.

Other time comparisons, however, provide less comfort. April 2020’s nonresidential starts level was -30.7% versus April 2019. April 2020 relative to the five-year average for April from 2015 to 2019 inclusive was -22.3%. And year-to-date nonresidential starts in the latest month were -16.7% when held up against January-April 2019. (Year to date in March, they had been -13.3%.)

Repercussions From Shutting Down the Economy

In April, the severe repercussions from shutting down the economy became glaringly apparent in the nation’s labor market statistics. A never-before-seen slide in jobs of 20.5 million made previous charts on month-to-month change worthless. Graph 1 shows an old graph inside a new one, where the vertical scale has needed a many-fold expansion.

In a single month, the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate deteriorated from a quite healthy 4.4% to a deeply distressed 14.7%. It would have been 18.0%, if the participation rate hadn’t retreated, month to month, from 62.7% to 60.2%. Close to 7 million individuals stopped looking for work in April, since they had no expectation of success, and were removed from the labor market roster.

The slide in U.S. construction employment in April was one million jobs. From Graph 2, the decline in total U.S. employment in the latest month took away 95% of the increase that occurred from the depths of the 2008-09 recession through the first quarter of this year. The construction sector, as a subset of total jobs, also recorded a huge decline in April, but to a degree that was a bit less than half the climb subsequent to the Great Recession.

Graph 1: U.S.: Month-to-month Total Employment Change

U.S.: Month-to-month Total Employment Change Chart
Latest data point is for April, 2020.
Data source: Payroll Survey, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Chart: ConstructConnect.

Graph 2: U.S. Total Employment

U.S. Total Employment − Construction Chart
Gray shadings denote recessions, Q2-Q3 2001 ('dot.com' collapse) & Q1 2008-Q2 2009 ('Great' Recession).
Latest data points are for April, 2020 / Based on seasonally adjusted (SA) data.
Data source: Payroll Survey, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Chart: ConstructConnect.

Construction’s Unemployment Rate at 16.6%

Construction’s not seasonally adjusted (NSA) unemployment rate in April shot up to 16.6% from 6.9% in March and a tight-for-the-sector 4.7% in April 2019. Construction activity has been judged ‘essential’ in almost all states since the onset of the health crisis two months ago. Instances of sitework shutdowns have proven relatively temporary. Also, construction appears prominently among lists of industries considered okay for Phase 1 economy reopenings.

Graph 3 highlights where layoff pain has been most wretched in the early days of the pandemic. Employment in the ‘leisure and hospitality’ sector (hotels/motels, restaurants, and bars) plummeted -47.2% year over year in April. No other sector has come even close to that kind of jobs contraction. Young adults, especially, in hospitality and accommodation services have felt the lash of forced closures to halt COVID-19’s rampant advance. Construction’s jobs shrinkage of -11.2% y/y has been better than the ‘total jobs’ decline of -12.9%. Worth noting, also, is that construction has done comparatively better than the private services-providing portion of the overall economy (-15.3% y/y).

Graph 3: Y/Y Jobs Change, U.S. Total Industry & Major Subsectors − April 2020 (based on seasonally adjusted payroll data)

Y/Y Jobs Change, U.S. Total Industry & Major Subsectors − April  2020 (based on seasonally adjusted  payroll data) Chart
Data source: Payroll Survey, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (Dept of Labor)).
Chart: ConstructConnect.

YTD Type-Of-Structure Increases Tied to Large Projects

April 2020’s month-to-month increase of +2.3% in total nonresidential starts received support from both commercial and institutional work, +7.2% and +4.4% respectively. The commercial sub-categories with particular lift were ‘private office buildings,’ +69.6%, and warehouses, +42.5%.  Among the Top 10 projects for the month (Top 10 Project Starts in the U.S. - April 2020) are a Salesforce office tower in Chicago and two enormous (by square footage) distribution centers, one in Texas (for Amazon) and the other in New York (Project Eagle).

On an April 2020 over April 2019 basis, with total nonresidential starts at -30.7%, industrial was down the most (-92.5%), but none of the other major type-of-structure subcategories had any reason to boast either. Commercial was -42.5%; heavy engineering/civil, -27.1%; and institutional, -13.6%.

As for total nonresidential starts being -16.7% year to date in the latest month, engineering was nearly level, -3.2%, and institutional was off, but not by that much, -6.8%. Commercial, though, was -22.4%, and industrial, -79.6%.

There have been several type-of-structure subcategories that have managed to achieve year-to-date increases in starts. Reading from top to bottom in Table 1, those with significant dollar volumes include: ‘government office buildings,’ +14.0%; ‘fire/police/courthouse/prisons,’ +34.6%; ‘military’, +231.7% (Geospatial Intelligence Agency Headquarters; see page 5); ‘road/highway,’ +4.1%; ‘dam/marine,’ +104.5%; and ‘miscellaneous civil,’ +17.7%.

A Deep Dive Starts Forecast in 2020; Better Prospects in 2021

From 2007 through 2009, during the last recession, ConstructConnect’s grand total starts, in dollar volume, experienced a combined decline of slightly more than -30%. For 2020 versus 2019, the company’s current forecast is for total starts to be -27.4%, with a good-sized uptick in 2021 versus 2020, +20.8%.

The problems for construction this year will come from many sources: widespread job and income losses throughout the economy that will cut into retail spending and office occupancy; manufacturing shutdowns and capacity utilization rate reductions that will eliminate the need for square footage additions; demand and pricing setbacks for commodities that assure fewer mega project initiations; and government revenue shortfalls that will put a question mark beside infrastructure build-out plans.

Governments are running up enormous debt at the same time as inflow taps are being tightened on income, corporate, property, and sales taxes. Plus, there are other sources of government revenue now being strained. For example, it’s hard to ring up decent fuel tax receipts when so many cars, trucks, and buses are staying parked in warehouses, garages, and driveways.   

Moving Average Graphs Heavily Influenced by Pre-COVID-19 Euphoria

The Nonresidential Construction Starts Trend Graphs - April 2020 showcase six graphs featuring 12-month moving averages for a dozen type-of-structure categories. The lines in all the graphs, except for ‘roads/highways’ and ‘water/sewage,’ are either continuing to trend along downward pathways or have recently turned in that direction.

Caution must be exercised in interpreting the graphs. Economic circumstances have changed overnight. April results comprise only one-twelfth of the latest moving average calculations. The graphs will be heavily influenced by pre-COVID-19-crisis conditions for some time.

Incentive, Bonus and Danger Pay

Tables B-3 and B-8 of the monthly Employment Situation report record average hourly and average weekly wages for industry sectors. B-3 is for all employees (i.e., including bosses) on nonfarm payrolls. B-8 is for ‘production and non-supervisory personnel’ only (i.e., it excludes bosses). For ‘all jobs’ and construction, there are eight relevant percentage changes to consider.

In April, from BLS Table B-3 (including supervisory personnel), ‘all-jobs’ y/y earnings more than doubled versus March, reaching +7.9% hourly and +7.3% weekly. The surge was facilitated by the disappearance of many lower-paying jobs. Plus, many workers who remained in key positions providing essential services received incentive, bonus, and danger pay supplements. Construction workers (from Table B-3) received +2.4% hourly, but -1.2% weekly.

From Table B-8 (leaving out bosses), the ‘all jobs’ y/y pay increases were +7.7% hourly and +7.0% weekly. Construction workers saw none of that. They were compensated +1.0% hourly and -3.0% weekly.

Construction Costing ‒ 3 PPI Series in Decline

April 2020’s y/y results for three BLS Producer Price Index (PPI) series were as follows: ‘construction materials special index,’ -1.1% (more negative than March’s -0.8%); ‘inputs to new construction index, excluding capital investment, labor, and imports,’ -4.0% (a minus after March’s 0.0%); and ‘final demand construction,’ +2.8% (retreating from the previous month’s +3.7%).

The value of construction starts each month is derived from ConstructConnect’s database of all active construction projects in the U.S. Missing project values are estimated with the help of RSMeans’ building cost models. ConstructConnect’s nonresidential construction starts series, because it is comprised of total-value estimates for individual projects, some of which are super-large, has a history of being more volatile than many other leading indicators for the economy. 

‘Grand Total’ Starts -14.6% YTD

From Table 3 below, ConstructConnect’s total residential starts in April were –22.3% m/m, -35.8% y/y, and -11.1% ytd. The latest month’s multi-unit starts were -31.6% m/m, -52.3% y/y, and -30.5% ytd. Single-family starts were -19.0% m/m and -28.4% y/y, but only -1.6% ytd. Combining residential and nonresidential, ‘Grand Total’ construction starts in April 2020 were -7.7% m/m, -32.5% y/y, and -14.6% ytd.

ConstructConnect has moved to a better-targeted and research-assigned ‘start’ date. (Prior to January 2017, the ‘start’ date was recorded as occurring within 30 to 60 days of the announced bid date.) In concept, a ‘start’ is equivalent to ground being broken for a project to proceed. If work is abandoned or rebid, the ‘start’ date is revised to reflect the new information.

Click here to download the Construction Industry Snapshot Package - April 2020 PDF.

Click here for the Top 10 Project Starts in the U.S. - April 2020.

Click here for the Nonresidential Construction Starts Trend Graphs - April 2020.

TABLE 1: VALUE OF UNITED STATES CONSTRUCTION STARTS
APRIL 2020 – CONSTRUCTCONNECT

    % Change   % Change   % Change
  Jan-APR 20 Jan-APR 20 vs    APR 20 vs   APR 20 vs
  ($ billions) Jan-APR 19   APR 19   MAR 20
             
Hotel/Motel 5.236 -35.1%   -49.5%   -9.0%
Retail 4.193 -30.6%   -19.2%   -1.4%
Parking Garage 0.699 -36.5%   -76.3%   -57.6%
Amusement 2.148 -1.7%   -6.4%   16.8%
Private Office  8.256 -16.7%   -52.2%   69.6%
Government Office 3.422 14.0%   -1.9%   -11.9%
Laboratory 0.833 19.1%   -45.8%   -45.1%
Warehouse 6.076 -15.7%   -54.9%   42.5%
Miscellaneous Commercial* 2.411 -48.2%   -43.9%   -33.1%
COMMERCIAL 33.273 -22.4%   -42.5%   7.2%
             
INDUSTRIAL (Manufacturing) 2.741 -79.6%   -92.5%   -39.9%
             
Religious 0.606 -1.2%   -16.7%   -52.8%
Hospital/Clinic 3.415 -26.5%   -51.5%   -21.5%
Nursing/Assisted Living 2.034 -46.8%   -35.3%   58.5%
Library/Museum 1.934 91.4%   -11.8%   50.3%
Police/Courthouse/Prison 2.502 34.6%   -0.3%   -14.7%
Military 3.673 231.7%   777.6%   174.6%
School/College 21.234 -11.9%   -25.7%   -8.7%
Miscellaneous Government 1.940 -32.6%   -55.6%   -33.9%
INSTITUTIONAL 37.338 -6.8%   -13.6%   4.4%
             
Miscellaneous Nonresidential 1.837 -18.5%   -38.0%   -8.2%
NONRESIDENTIAL BUILDING 75.188 -23.7%   -33.3%   4.5%
             
Airport 1.165 -43.4%   -44.4%   -40.3%
Road/Highway 20.504 4.1%   7.6%   42.2%
Bridge 8.885 -31.5%   -73.8%   -42.4%
Dam/Marine 2.761 104.5%   126.1%   19.4%
Water/Sewage 10.331 1.3%   -11.0%   -7.8%
Miscellaneous Civil 6.301 17.7%   -49.9%   -45.5%
HEAVY ENGINEERING 49.947 -3.2%   -27.1%   -0.4%
             
TOTAL NONRESIDENTIAL 125.135 -16.7%   -30.7%   2.3%

*Includes transportation terminals and sports arenas.

Source: ConstructConnect Research Group and ConstructConnect.
Table: ConstructConnect.

TABLE 2: VALUE OF UNITED STATES CONSTRUCTION STARTS
CONSTRUCTCONNECT INSIGHT VERSION – APRIL 2020
Arranged to match the alphabetical category drop-down menus in INSIGHT

        % Change     % Change % Change
      Jan-Apr 20 Jan-Apr 20 vs     Apr 20 vs Apr 20 vs
      ($ billions) Jan-Apr 19     Apr 19 Mar 20
                 
Summary              
CIVIL     49.947 -3.2%     -27.1% -0.4%
NONRESIDENTIAL BUILDING 75.188 -23.7%     -33.3% 4.5%
RESIDENTIAL   82.256 -11.1%     -35.8% -22.3%
GRAND TOTAL   207.391 -14.6%     -32.5% -7.7%
                 
Verticals              
    Airport 1.165 -43.4%     -44.4% -40.3%
    All Other Civil 5.321 27.0%     -46.4% -21.8%
    Bridges 8.885 -31.5%     -73.8% -42.4%
    Dams / Canals / Marine Work 2.761 104.5%     126.1% 19.4%
    Power Infrastructure 0.980 -15.8%     -67.5% -84.3%
    Roads 20.504 4.1%     7.6% 42.2%
    Water and Sewage Treatment 10.331 1.3%     -11.0% -7.8%
CIVIL     49.947 -3.2%     -27.1% -0.4%
    Offices (private) 8.256 -16.7%     -52.2% 69.6%
    Parking Garages 0.699 -36.5%     -76.3% -57.6%
    Transportation Terminals 0.730 -60.3%     -62.1% -33.2%
  Commercial (small subset) 9.685 -24.6%     -55.1% 35.8%
    Amusement 2.148 -1.7%     -6.4% 16.8%
    Libraries / Museums 1.934 91.4%     -11.8% 50.3%
    Religious 0.606 -1.2%     -16.7% -52.8%
    Sports Arenas / Convention Centers 1.681 -40.3%     -27.2% -33.1%
  Community 6.369 -3.9%     -14.3% -7.6%
    College / University 5.354 -22.4%     -45.2% -40.3%
    Elementary / Pre School 6.173 -8.2%     -27.3% -14.6%
    Jr / Sr High School 9.304 -5.0%     -12.4% 14.9%
    Special / Vocational 0.403 -42.0%     -57.1% 13.7%
  Educational 21.234 -11.9%     -25.7% -8.7%
    Courthouses 0.756 106.4%     -57.0% -59.3%
    Fire and Police Stations 1.088 21.2%     -26.7% -12.2%
    Government Offices 3.422 14.0%     -1.9% -11.9%
    Prisons 0.658 10.5%     171.6% 14.3%
  Government 5.924 21.9%     -1.3% -13.0%
    Industrial Labs / Labs / School Labs 0.833 19.1%     -45.8% -45.1%
    Manufacturing 2.741 -79.6%     -92.5% -39.9%
    Warehouses 6.076 -15.7%     -54.9% 42.5%
  Industrial 9.649 -54.7%     -69.0% 15.9%
    Hospitals / Clinics 3.415 -26.5%     -51.5% -21.5%
    Medical Misc. 1.940 -32.6%     -55.6% -33.9%
    Nursing Homes 2.034 -46.8%     -35.3% 58.5%
  Medical   7.389 -34.9%     -47.7% -8.0%
  Military   3.673 231.7%     777.6% 174.6%
    Hotels 5.236 -35.1%     -49.5% -9.0%
    Retail Misc. 1.837 -18.5%     -38.0% -8.2%
    Shopping 4.193 -30.6%     -19.2% -1.4%
  Retail   11.265 -31.2%     -36.5% -5.5%
NONRESIDENTIAL BUILDING 75.188 -23.7%     -33.3% 4.5%
    Multi-Family 21.154 -30.5%     -52.3% -31.6%
    Single-Family 61.102 -1.6%     -28.4% -19.0%
RESIDENTIAL   82.256 -11.1%     -35.8% -22.3%
NONRESIDENTIAL 125.135 -16.7%     -30.7% 2.3%
GRAND TOTAL   207.391 -14.6%     -32.5% -7.7%

Table 1 conforms to the type-of-structure ordering adopted by many firms and organizations in the industry. Specifically, it breaks nonresidential building into ICI work (i.e., industrial, commercial, and institutional), since each has its own set of economic and demographic drivers. Table 2 presents an alternative, perhaps more user-friendly and intuitive type-of-structure ordering that matches how the data appears in ConstructConnect Insight.

Source: ConstructConnect.
Table: ConstructConnect.

TABLE 3: VALUE OF UNITED STATES NATIONAL CONSTRUCTION STARTS – APRIL 2020 – CONSTRUCTCONNECT
Billions of current $s, not seasonally adjusted (NSA)

  Latest month actuals  Moving averages (placed in end month) Year to Date. 
        3-months 12-months JAN-APR JAN-APR
  FEB 20 MAR 20 APR 20 FEB 20 MAR 20 APR 20 FEB 20 MAR 20 APR 20 2019 2020
                       
Single Family 16.643 16.057 13.008 15.934 16.031 15.236 16.918 16.916 16.485 62.104 61.102
   month-over-month % change 8.1% -3.5% -19.0% 3.0% 0.6% -5.0% 2.0% 0.0% -2.5%    
   year-over-year % change 30.7% -0.2% -28.4% 18.9% 9.5% -2.7% 1.2% 1.9% 0.1% -7.3% -1.6%
Apartment 5.176 5.648 3.864 6.550 5.763 4.896 7.862 7.690 7.338 30.416 21.154
   month-over-month % change -20.0% 9.1% -31.6% -15.8% -12.0% -15.1% -2.6% -2.2% -4.6%    
   year-over-year % change -32.8% -26.7% -52.3% -13.6% -22.5% -37.5% -0.4% -3.3% -7.8% 4.4% -30.5%
TOTAL RESIDENTIAL 21.819 21.705 16.872 22.484 21.795 20.132 24.779 24.606 23.823 92.520 82.256
   month-over-month % change -0.2% -0.5% -22.3% -3.3% -3.1% -7.6% 0.5% -0.7% -3.2%    
   year-over-year % change 6.8% -8.7% -35.8% 7.1% -1.3% -14.3% 0.7% 0.2% -2.4% -3.7% -11.1%
Hotel/Motel 1.733 1.070 0.973 1.695 1.421 1.259 1.889 1.743 1.664 8.073 5.236
   month-over-month % change 18.8% -38.3% -9.0% -17.2% -16.2% -11.4% -0.1% -7.7% -4.6%    
   year-over-year % change -1.0% -62.1% -49.5% 0.3% -30.6% -41.9% -12.4% -22.7% -25.9% 9.2% -35.1%
Retail 0.734 1.250 1.233 0.884 0.987 1.072 1.244 1.233 1.209 6.040 4.193
   month-over-month % change -24.8% 70.2% -1.4% -14.0% 11.6% 8.7% -6.7% -0.9% -2.0%    
   year-over-year % change -59.3% -9.3% -19.2% -37.3% -34.4% -31.7% -19.2% -17.6% -17.4% -11.0% -30.6%
Parking Garages 0.098 0.177 0.075 0.189 0.208 0.117 0.263 0.247 0.227 1.101 0.699
   month-over-month % change -72.0% 80.4% -57.6% -24.3% 10.1% -44.0% -0.3% -5.9% -8.1%    
   year-over-year % change -7.8% -51.2% -76.3% -25.3% -20.5% -55.4% 6.8% -6.0% -14.6% 41.8% -36.5%
Amusement 0.417 0.487 0.569 0.555 0.526 0.491 0.631 0.623 0.620 2.186 2.148
   month-over-month % change -38.2% 16.9% 16.8% -1.2% -5.1% -6.7% 0.1% -1.4% -0.5%    
   year-over-year % change 2.1% -17.6% -6.4% 3.0% 0.1% -8.4% -7.2% -8.4% -8.3% -17.0% -1.7%
Office 3.099 0.914 1.550 2.514 2.235 1.854 3.269 2.970 2.828 9.912 8.256
   month-over-month % change 15.0% -70.5% 69.6% -20.3% -11.1% -17.1% 5.6% -9.2% -4.8%    
   year-over-year % change 201.8% -79.7% -52.2% 54.4% 0.6% -36.7% 55.5% 27.3% 18.5% -11.1% -16.7%
Governmental Offices 0.738 1.052 0.926 0.729 0.832 0.905 0.967 0.998 0.996 3.001 3.422
   month-over-month % change 4.6% 42.5% -11.9% -14.2% 14.1% 8.9% 0.7% 3.2% -0.1%    
   year-over-year % change 12.3% 53.6% -1.9% 7.8% 21.3% 18.8% 5.7% 7.4% 7.3% 4.2% 14.0%
Laboratories 0.098 0.192 0.105 0.280 0.243 0.132 0.218 0.215 0.207 0.700 0.833
   month-over-month % change -77.6% 95.1% -45.1% -7.8% -13.4% -45.7% 1.1% -1.6% -3.5%    
   year-over-year % change 38.3% -17.6% -45.8% 61.9% 44.0% -20.6% -15.7% -14.0% -14.9% 1.9% 19.1%
Warehouse 0.961 0.964 1.373 1.944 1.567 1.099 1.890 1.852 1.713 7.204 6.076
   month-over-month % change -65.4% 0.4% 42.5% -9.7% -19.4% -29.9% -1.6% -2.0% -7.5%    
   year-over-year % change -27.8% -31.7% -54.9% 62.8% 13.1% -43.0% 5.3% 4.0% -10.0% 17.8% -15.7%
Misc Commercial 0.576 0.647 0.433 0.733 0.659 0.552 1.597 1.534 1.506 4.656 2.411
   month-over-month % change -23.8% 12.4% -33.1% -29.7% -10.1% -16.3% -0.2% -3.9% -1.8%    
   year-over-year % change -6.6% -53.7% -43.9% -27.3% -49.1% -40.5% 42.0% 32.2% 44.7% 4.6% -48.2%
TOTAL COMMERCIAL 8.454 6.753 7.238 9.523 8.678 7.481 11.968 11.415 10.970 42.872 33.273
   month-over-month % change -21.9% -20.1% 7.2% -16.4% -8.9% -13.8% 0.5% -4.6% -3.9%    
   year-over-year % change 8.8% -49.6% -42.5% 11.1% -14.1% -33.5% 10.6% 2.4% -1.6% 0.0% -22.4%
TOTAL INDUSTRIAL  (Manufacturing) 1.369 0.249 0.150 1.197 0.864 0.589 4.151 3.719 3.565 13.407 2.741
   month-over-month % change 40.9% -81.8% -39.9% -10.4% -27.9% -31.7% -2.8% -10.4% -4.2%    
   year-over-year % change -51.2% -95.4% -92.5% -62.3% -77.3% -82.7% 27.8% 3.5% -2.1% 143.3% -79.6%
Religious 0.094 0.259 0.122 0.118 0.161 0.158 0.151 0.160 0.158 0.613 0.606
   month-over-month % change -27.8% 174.2% -52.8% -25.6% 36.2% -1.8% -0.5% 5.5% -1.3%    
   year-over-year % change -9.2% 62.7% -16.7% -34.3% 3.6% 16.0% -20.2% -14.6% -13.1% -2.4% -1.2%
Hosptials/Clinics 1.386 0.505 0.396 1.300 1.006 0.763 1.748 1.658 1.623 4.649 3.415
   month-over-month % change 22.9% -63.6% -21.5% -23.1% -22.6% -24.2% 3.3% -5.1% -2.1%    
   year-over-year % change 91.9% -68.1% -51.5% -21.2% -21.2% -26.8% 31.7% 19.4% 27.7% -26.0% -26.5%
Nursing/Assisted Living 0.419 0.350 0.555 0.516 0.493 0.441 0.738 0.680 0.655 3.824 2.034
   month-over-month % change -41.0% -16.5% 58.5% -20.9% -4.5% -10.5% -4.2% -7.8% -3.7%    
   year-over-year % change -48.1% -66.4% -35.3% -46.8% -50.1% -51.1% -16.2% -24.8% -26.8% 3.2% -46.8%
Libraries/Museums 0.744 0.188 0.283 0.547 0.550 0.405 0.419 0.404 0.401 1.010 1.934
   month-over-month % change 3.4% -74.7% 50.3% 34.9% 0.7% -26.4% 14.6% -3.6% -0.8%    
   year-over-year % change 625.9% -48.8% -11.8% 237.2% 139.5% 53.6% 83.2% 63.9% 55.4% 52.0% 91.4%
Police/Courthouse/Prison 0.416 0.635 0.542 0.613 0.654 0.531 0.623 0.635 0.635 1.860 2.502
   month-over-month % change -54.3% 52.7% -14.7% -8.5% 6.7% -18.8% 1.5% 2.0% 0.0%    
   year-over-year % change 34.8% 30.5% -0.3% 19.8% 48.9% 19.0% -8.1% -7.3% -3.9% -8.9% 34.6%
Military 0.304 0.728 2.000 0.425 0.558 1.011 0.481 0.506 0.654 1.107 3.673
   month-over-month % change -52.5% 139.2% 174.6% -26.6% 31.3% 81.2% 2.3% 5.2% 29.2%    
   year-over-year % change 77.1% 69.2% 777.6% 46.2% 90.3% 265.3% 11.5% 14.1% 46.0% 14.7% 231.7%
Schools/Colleges 3.994 6.637 6.062 4.551 5.057 5.565 6.199 6.240 6.065 24.108 21.234
   month-over-month % change -12.0% 66.2% -8.7% -5.3% 11.1% 10.0% -0.5% 0.7% -2.8%    
   year-over-year % change -8.3% 8.1% -25.7% -7.4% -4.9% -10.5% 2.2% 3.1% -1.2% 9.8% -11.9%
Misc Government 0.403 0.635 0.420 0.564 0.507 0.486 0.739 0.741 0.697 2.878 1.940
   month-over-month % change -16.4% 57.7% -33.9% -0.3% -10.1% -4.1% 1.4% 0.2% -5.9%    
   year-over-year % change 43.1% 3.3% -55.6% -16.4% -21.4% -20.8% -20.2% -18.9% -20.9% -18.8% -32.6%
TOTAL INSTITUTIONAL 7.761 9.938 10.379 8.633 8.986 9.360 11.098 11.024 10.888 40.050 37.338
   month-over-month % change -16.2% 28.1% 4.4% -9.4% 4.1% 4.2% 0.7% -0.7% -1.2%    
   year-over-year % change 13.2% -8.2% -13.6% -7.7% -3.8% -5.5% 3.4% 1.9% 1.4% 0.6% -6.8%
Misc Non Residential 0.416 0.460 0.422 0.463 0.472 0.433 0.626 0.618 0.596 2.255 1.837
   month-over-month % change -22.9% 10.7% -8.2% -24.1% 1.9% -8.3% -2.3% -1.2% -3.5%    
   year-over-year % change -29.4% -16.7% -38.0% -1.8% -10.1% -28.8% 4.7% 4.2% 0.0% -2.3% -18.5%
TOTAL NONRES BUILDING 18.000 17.400 18.190 19.817 19.000 17.863 27.843 26.777 26.019 98.584 75.188
   month-over-month % change -16.7% -3.3% 4.5% -13.3% -4.1% -6.0% 0.0% -3.8% -2.8%    
   year-over-year % change -0.1% -42.4% -33.3% -8.1% -20.1% -29.0% 9.6% 2.4% -0.4% 8.9% -23.7%
Airports 0.188 0.503 0.300 0.266 0.288 0.330 0.543 0.559 0.539 2.057 1.165
   month-over-month % change 8.4% 167.1% -40.3% -16.5% 8.2% 14.6% -7.3% 2.9% -3.6%    
   year-over-year % change -73.1% 59.4% -44.4% -48.7% -43.0% -36.3% -8.7% 1.8% -2.0% -24.7% -43.4%
Roads/Highways 3.691 5.387 7.660 3.929 4.281 5.579 5.445 5.457 5.502 19.691 20.504
   month-over-month % change -2.0% 46.0% 42.2% -2.1% 9.0% 30.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.8%    
   year-over-year % change 1.6% 2.7% 7.6% 9.4% 2.1% 4.7% 2.5% 5.4% 6.1% -5.0% 4.1%
Bridges 1.928 3.009 1.734 1.862 2.384 2.223 2.455 2.567 2.161 12.965 8.885
   month-over-month % change -13.0% 56.1% -42.4% 0.1% 28.0% -6.7% -1.8% 4.6% -15.8%    
   year-over-year % change -22.2% 81.4% -73.8% -13.7% 12.5% -37.9% 18.1% 28.7% -8.5% 49.8% -31.5%
Dams/Marine 0.277 0.696 0.830 0.539 0.643 0.601 0.756 0.791 0.830 1.350 2.761
   month-over-month % change -71.1% 151.4% 19.4% -33.1% 19.4% -6.6% -0.6% 4.7% 4.9%    
   year-over-year % change -17.0% 156.5% 126.1% 34.7% 96.5% 85.5% 35.1% 42.4% 54.5% -12.8% 104.5%
Water/Sewage 2.091 3.241 2.989 2.362 2.447 2.774 2.552 2.656 2.625 10.199 10.331
   month-over-month % change 4.1% 55.0% -7.8% -4.8% 3.6% 13.3% -0.1% 4.1% -1.2%    
   year-over-year % change -0.9% 62.2% -11.0% 2.4% 7.3% 11.5% 2.6% 7.5% 6.1% 0.4% 1.3%
Misc Civil 0.959 1.608 0.877 3.551 1.808 1.148 4.020 3.995 3.922 5.354 6.301
   month-over-month % change -66.5% 67.7% -45.5% -9.3% -49.1% -36.5% 0.0% -0.6% -1.8%    
   year-over-year % change 1.0% -15.9% -49.9% 315.4% 50.5% -25.3% 56.2% 92.9% 124.1% -67.5% 17.7%
TOTAL ENGINEERING 9.133 14.443 14.390 12.508 11.852 12.655 15.771 16.024 15.579 51.616 49.947
   month-over-month % change -23.8% 58.1% -0.4% -6.6% -5.2% 6.8% -0.6% 1.6% -2.8%    
   year-over-year % change -10.5% 26.7% -27.1% 27.3% 11.5% -8.2% 15.9% 25.0% 21.2% -14.4% -3.2%
GRAND TOTAL 48.952 53.548 49.451 54.810 52.647 50.650 68.394 67.407 65.420 242.719 207.391
   month-over-month % change -11.7% 9.4% -7.7% -7.9% -3.9% -3.8% 0.0% -1.4% -2.9%    
   year-over-year % change 0.6% -18.1% -32.5% 4.6% -6.8% -18.9% 7.5% 6.1% 3.2% -1.7% -14.6%
NONRES BLDG + ENGINEERING 27.133 31.843 32.580 32.325 30.852 30.519 43.614 42.801 41.597 150.199 125.135
   month-over-month % change -19.2% 17.4% 2.3% -10.8% -4.6% -1.1% -0.2% -1.9% -2.8%    
   year-over-year % change -3.9% -23.5% -30.7% 2.9% -10.3% -21.6% 11.8% 9.8% 6.7% -0.4% -16.7%

Data Source and Table: ConstructConnect.

TABLE 4: U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE REGIONAL STARTS
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION* — CONSTRUCTCONNECT

  JAN-APR 2019   JAN-APR 2020   % Change
           
Connecticut $2,187,577,639   $1,074,907,383   -50.9%
Maine $540,297,468   $518,170,920   -4.1%
Massachusetts $3,483,454,647   $2,629,980,512   -24.5%
New Hampshire $584,932,158   $227,236,762   -61.2%
Rhode Island $363,605,880   $257,317,552   -29.2%
Vermont $123,909,194   $237,723,394   91.9%
Total New England $7,283,776,986   $4,945,336,523   -32.1%
New Jersey $2,092,229,794   $2,430,877,140   16.2%
New York $7,483,002,971   $6,973,653,900   -6.8%
Pennsylvania $5,015,692,695   $3,644,752,637   -27.3%
Total Middle Atlantic $14,590,925,460   $13,049,283,677   -10.6%
TOTAL NORTHEAST $21,874,702,446   $17,994,620,200   -17.7%
Illinois $3,818,102,954   $4,659,517,055   22.0%
Indiana $2,373,162,019   $2,674,814,508   12.7%
Michigan $2,657,920,459   $2,314,421,216   -12.9%
Ohio $4,147,664,031   $3,031,428,993   -26.9%
Wisconsin $3,390,580,834   $2,747,125,337   -19.0%
Total East North Central $16,387,430,297   $15,427,307,109   -5.9%
Iowa $1,654,016,635   $1,937,567,272   17.1%
Kansas $1,622,027,355   $987,585,224   -39.1%
Minnesota $2,168,428,057   $2,239,790,350   3.3%
Missouri $2,287,199,440   $5,052,581,059   120.9%
Nebraska $1,525,628,835   $1,813,024,013   18.8%
North Dakota $376,887,208   $470,074,662   24.7%
South Dakota $583,323,410   $504,137,398   -13.6%
Total West North Central $10,217,510,940   $13,004,759,978   27.3%
TOTAL MIDWEST $26,604,941,237   $28,432,067,087   6.9%
Delaware $471,326,917   $402,256,199   -14.7%
District of Columbia $603,435,109   $217,147,319   -64.0%
Florida $9,521,586,370   $7,348,783,822   -22.8%
Georgia $6,125,161,208   $3,857,531,409   -37.0%
Maryland $3,044,004,951   $2,687,817,591   -11.7%
North Carolina $4,547,553,917   $3,228,634,648   -29.0%
South Carolina $2,750,892,808   $1,804,949,164   -34.4%
Virginia $7,043,141,231   $3,850,302,725   -45.3%
West Virginia $690,669,574   $1,020,801,875   47.8%
Total South Atlantic $34,797,772,085   $24,418,224,752   -29.8%
Alabama $5,014,626,785   $1,686,812,266   -66.4%
Kentucky $2,818,319,868   $928,827,558   -67.0%
Mississippi $1,004,753,594   $1,119,099,409   11.4%
Tennessee $2,779,546,930   $2,806,290,814   1.0%
Total East South Central $11,617,247,177   $6,541,030,047   -43.7%
Arkansas $997,403,355   $1,542,426,597   54.6%
Louisiana $1,551,064,219   $1,532,238,359   -1.2%
Oklahoma $2,153,705,612   $1,350,143,712   -37.3%
Texas $19,683,986,699   $13,298,339,658   -32.4%
Total West South Central $24,386,159,885   $17,723,148,326   -27.3%
TOTAL SOUTH $70,801,179,147   $48,682,403,125   -31.2%
Arizona $2,579,524,609   $3,689,469,183   43.0%
Colorado $3,823,516,343   $2,569,928,415   -32.8%
Idaho $750,066,391   $524,549,913   -30.1%
Montana $362,765,854   $469,635,470   29.5%
Nevada $2,451,195,798   $1,251,488,779   -48.9%
New Mexico $451,776,317   $476,339,517   5.4%
Utah $1,885,421,459   $2,875,321,892   52.5%
Wyoming $245,125,060   $332,352,554   35.6%
Total Mountain $12,549,391,831   $12,189,085,723   -2.9%
Alaska $294,590,622   $287,951,090   -2.3%
California $12,951,264,365   $12,717,483,749   -1.8%
Hawaii $869,615,405   $304,933,989   -64.9%
Oregon $1,478,547,889   $1,140,255,947   -22.9%
Washington $2,774,920,410   $3,386,342,466   22.0%
Total Pacific $18,368,938,691   $17,836,967,241   -2.9%
TOTAL WEST $30,918,330,522   $30,026,052,964   -2.9%
TOTAL U.S. $150,199,153,352   $125,135,143,376   -16.7%

*Figures above are comprised of nonres building and engineering (i.e., residential is omitted).

Data Source and Table: ConstructConnect.


New call-to-action

About Alex Carrick

Alex Carrick is Chief Economist for ConstructConnect. He has delivered presentations throughout North America on the U.S., Canadian and world construction outlooks. Mr. Carrick has been with the company since 1985.

     
Take Control of Your Construction Bidding Pipeline & Find More Project Leads in Your Backyard
Find. Bid. Win. Repeat!

Subscribe to the Blog!